This
chapter questions whether the Malaysian
capital controls of September 1998
were effective. It suggests that
there is no conclusive evidence
that the September 1998 controls
were successful, but also argues
that there is no evidence that they
caused much harm to the Malaysian
economy either. The controls were
introduced 14 months after the crisis
began, and they were too late in
averting the crisis, or in retaining
the bulk of foreign funds that had
fled by then.
The paper also notes that Malaysia
was the only East Asian crisis economy
to run a budget surplus in 1997,
while those with IMF programmes
all ran budget deficits. Finally,
it suggests that prudential banking
regulations introduced after the
last banking crisis in the late
1980s prevented Malaysia from being
more vulnerable to crisis, but official
encouragement of portfolio investment
inflows into its stock market was
the main source of its vulnerability.
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