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Various
different and
sometimes
contradictory
lessons have
been drawn
from the
1997-1998 East
Asian crisis
experiences.
The
ideological
implications
and political
differences
involved have
complicated
the
possibility of
drawing shared
lessons from
the crises.
The seeming
calm and
increased
growth in most
developing
countries in
the period
since 2001
have also
undermined the
possibility of
far-reaching
developmental
reforms
following the
experience.
Perhaps most
importantly,
the vested
interests
supporting
existing
international
financial
governance
arrangements
continue to
impede the
possibility of
implementing
lessons drawn
from the
experience.
Such interests
are generally
supported by
conventional
wisdom and
reinforced by
the financial
media.
This paper
considers
various views
of the origins
of the crisis
and its
development
and spread
through the
region
(referred to
as contagion).
This is then
set against
the larger
drama of the
transformation
of the East
Asian miracle
into a
debacle. All
this is placed
in the larger
context of
policy
advocacy for
financial
liberalization,
especially
since the late
1980s. It
focuses on the
consequences
of financial
liberalization
in the region.
It also argues
that the
crises were of
a new type and
were somewhat
different from
earlier
currency and
financial
crises. In
particular, it
emphasizes the
implications
of easily
reversible
capital flows.
While much of
the literature
stresses the
problems
associated
with foreign
bank
borrowing,
this paper
also draws
attention to
the dangers of
portfolio
capital flows.
It looks at
the role of
the
International
Monetary Fund
(IMF) in
exacerbating
the crises.
The paper then
suggests six
urgent areas
for
international
financial
system reform
from a
development
perspective
that go beyond
crisis
avoidance and
management. It
concludes with
a
consideration
of why there
has not been
more progress
in making
needed reforms
since the
Asian crises.
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