Various
different and sometimes contradictory
lessons have been drawn from the
1997-1998 East Asian crisis experiences.
The ideological implications and
political differences involved have
complicated the possibility of drawing
shared lessons from the crises.
The seeming calm and increased growth
in most developing countries in
the period since 2001 have also
undermined the possibility of far-reaching
developmental reforms following
the experience. Perhaps most importantly,
the vested interests supporting
existing international financial
governance arrangements continue
to impede the possibility of implementing
lessons drawn from the experience.
Such interests are generally supported
by conventional wisdom and reinforced
by the financial media.
This paper considers various views
of the origins of the crisis and
its development and spread through
the region (referred to as contagion).
This is then set against the larger
drama of the transformation of the
East Asian miracle into a debacle.
All this is placed in the larger
context of policy advocacy for financial
liberalization, especially since
the late 1980s. It focuses on the
consequences of financial liberalization
in the region. It also argues that
the crises were of a new type and
were somewhat different from earlier
currency and financial crises. In
particular, it emphasizes the implications
of easily reversible capital flows.
While much of the literature stresses
the problems associated with foreign
bank borrowing, this paper also
draws attention to the dangers of
portfolio capital flows. It looks
at the role of the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) in exacerbating
the crises. The paper then suggests
six urgent areas for international
financial system reform from a development
perspective that go beyond crisis
avoidance and management. It concludes
with a consideration of why there
has not been more progress in making
needed reforms since the Asian crises.
|