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There
is a little
agreement on
the
relationship
between trade
liberalization
and poverty
with many
economists
presuming that
trade
liberalization
contributes to
both growth as
well as
inequality
reduction,
although there
is little
incontrovertible
evidence
supporting
this.
This article
contains
author’s
observations
on Seminar
Series C on
Trade &
Poverty,
Closing
Ceremony,
Asian
Development
Forum, Seoul,
5 November
2002. Most of
this
discussion is
centered on
trade and
growth, and
only
indirectly on
inequality and
on poverty.
(There was an
argument that
poverty has
fallen
considerably
in the last
decade due to
growth
(courtesy
liberalization)
(Bhalla).
Anderson
advocated
agricultural
trade
liberalization,
which Yamazawa
noted, will
primarily
benefit the
rich
countries.
Anderson also
showed greater
terms of trade
(ToT) losses
due to trade
liberalization
for most
tropical
developing
countries.)The
depreciation
of the terms
of trade (TOT)
for primary
products
against
manufactures
puts a greater
significance
on the
international
inequalities
compared to
intra-national
inequalities
in apparently
growing world
inequality.
Meanwhile
Kharas insists
that trade
liberalization
is good for
growth and for
poverty
reduction and
side by side
stressed on
the need to
focus on the
vulnerable. On
the other
hand, Quibria
noted that
short-term
impacts of
trade
liberalization
may be very
bad, even if
ameliorated in
the medium or
long term.)
There is
growing
concern that
trade
liberalization
under WTO has
been more
onerous than
under GATT,
especially for
the least
developed
countries
which are
obliged to
implement
liberalization
programs
determined by
powerful
governments
for
influential
transnational
corporate
interests.
With the
recent global
slowdown in
economic
growth, export
markets have
shrunk,
reducing the
viability of
export-led
growth. Hence,
developing
countries are
being urged to
develop social
safety nets
requiring
fiscal and
targeting
capacities
already eroded
by ongoing
liberalization.
The author
asserts that
with the
erosion of
earlier
productive
capacities by
trade
liberalization,
renewed
reliance on
domestic-led
growth has not
been easily
achieved as
many trade
policy
instruments
are no longer
available.
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